Waterloo Region Real Estate Market Update Sep 2025

by Navjot Singh

 

Waterloo Region Real Estate Market Update: September 2025 Analysis

Kitchener-Waterloo-Cambridge housing market continued to rebalance in September 2025—more inventory, softer pricing, and a more balanced market for buyers and sellers across Waterloo Region.

 

Watch Full Market Analysis (Waterloo Region, Sept 2025)

Video thumbnail: Waterloo Region Real Estate Market Update September 2025

September 2025 Market Overview: Key Takeaways

📊 Market Snapshot at a Glance — Waterloo Region Real Estate

Total Home Sales: 502 properties sold through MLS®
Year-over-Year: ▼ 4.7% vs. Sept 2024
Average Sale Price: $753,162 ▼ 4.7% YoY • ▲ 3.2% MoM
Active Listings: 2,094 more choice, less pressure
Average DOM: 32 flat vs. August
Market Status: Balanced neutral overall

Breaking Down September 2025 Sales by Property Type

🏠 Detached Homes

Average Sale Price: $858,872

▼ 5.9% YoY • ▲ 1.4% MoM • 325 sales (▼ 4.1% YoY)

Read: Still the priciest segment; stabilizing with ~3.3 months of supply. Well-priced, desirable homes draw activity.

🏘️ Townhouses

Average Sale Price: $606,871

▲ 1.7% YoY • ▲ 1.8% MoM • 91 sales (▼ 5.2% YoY)

Read: The resilient middle; ~4.8 months of supply. Strong for first-timers and downsizers.

🏢 Condominiums

Average Sale Price: $442,086

▼ 8.9% YoY • ▲ 2.0% MoM • 51 sales (▼ 13.6% YoY)

Read: Most affordable entry; 7.3 MOS = buyer’s market. University/tech-adjacent units remain competitive.

🏡 Semi-Detached

Average Sale Price: $621,026

▼ 5.1% YoY • ▲ 0.5% MoM • 34 sales (▲ 6.3% YoY)

Read: Value play between towns and detached; growing interest from budget-minded families.

Understanding Market Conditions

The Shift to Balance

A healthy correction after the frenzy—more sustainable, not a crash.

Inventory Tells the Story

1,469 new listings (▲ 11.0% YoY; ▲ 32.9% vs 10-year avg) and 2,094 total active (▲ 22.2% YoY; ▲ 79.5% vs 10-year avg of 1,167).

For Buyers

  • More selection, less competition
  • Negotiation leverage on price/terms
  • Time to inspect and decide

For Sellers

  • Stand out with price + presentation
  • Digital marketing matters more
  • Be flexible on dates/terms

MLS® Home Price Index (HPI): Benchmark Prices

Kitchener–Waterloo (September 2025)

Property Type Benchmark Price Monthly Change YoY Change
Composite $673,100 ▼ 0.3% ▼ 7.6%
Single Family $794,600 ▼ 0.1% ▼ 5.9%
Townhouse $548,300 ▼ 1.3% ▼ 9.0%
Apartment $406,200 ▼ 0.9% ▼ 6.8%

Cambridge (September 2025)

Property Type Benchmark Price Monthly Change YoY Change
Composite $701,700 ▲ 0.1% ▼ 5.4%
Single Family $742,700 ▲ 0.1% ▼ 4.5%
Townhouse $611,500 ▲ 0.3% ▼ 4.7%
Apartment $453,100 ▼ 0.4% ▼ 5.9%

Key insight: Cambridge edges KW with slightly softer YoY declines.

Speed & Balance Indicators

Average Days on Market

32 days (flat vs Aug; up from 28 in Sept 2024). Five-year average ≈ 19.

Pro tip: Competitive pricing + pro photos + staging + move-in readiness = faster sells.

Months of Supply

  • Overall: 4.0 (balanced)
  • Detached: 3.3 (slight seller tilt)
  • Townhouse: 4.8 (balanced)
  • Condo: 7.3 (buyer’s market)

What It Means for Buyers (Waterloo Region)

  • More selection (2,094 active; ~79.5% above 10-yr avg)
  • Fewer bidding wars, more negotiating room
  • Stabilizing month-to-month pricing

What It Means for Sellers

  • 502 sales = steady demand; success is strategy-dependent
  • Price precisely; present professionally; market hard
  • Be flexible on terms to close stronger deals

Investor Angle (Kitchener • Waterloo • Cambridge)

  • Condos: entry pricing + rental demand (uni/tech); choose carefully with 7.3 MOS
  • Townhouses: only YoY price gainer; resilient
  • Semi-detached: family appeal, solid value

Peel Region (Mississauga • Brampton • Caledon) — September 2025

📊 Market Snapshot at a Glance

Sales (GTA context): ▲ 8.5% YoY Peel tracking similar
MoM Activity: ▲ 2.0% seasonally adjusted
Average Price (GTA): $1,059,377 ▼ 4.7% YoY
Benchmark (HPI)▼: 5.5% YoY ▼ 0.5% MoM
Market Status: Balanced more selection, calmer pace
Buyer Behaviour: Selective more conditions/negotiation

Read: Peel mirrors GTA-wide dynamics: firmer sales than last year, but pricing remains sensitive. Listings priced to the last 30–45 days of comps and presented professionally are still moving.

Halton Region (Oakville • Burlington • Milton • Halton Hills) — September 2025

📊 Market Snapshot at a Glance

Total Home Sales: 297 ▼ 16.1% YoY (354)
New Listings: 1,399 ▼ 7.9% YoY (1,519)
Average Sale Price: $1,177,168 ▼ 10.1% YoY • ▼ 2.5% MoM
Last Month Avg: $1,206,778 Aug 2025 reference
Average DOM: 37 median 23
Market Status: Cooling slower pace, tighter supply

Read: Sales and prices are softer year-over-year, yet fewer fresh listings prevent an inventory surge. Best-prepped, well-located homes still earn strong attention—accurate pricing is critical.

Take Action: Next Steps

Buyers Free Buyer Consultation Clarity on budget & areas
Sellers Home Valuation Data-driven pricing
Investors KW Deal Scan Targeted opportunities

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About the Data

Statistics sourced from the Waterloo Region Association of REALTORS® (Cornerstone Association of REALTORS®), ITSO MLS® System, and TRREB (for GTA/Peel context) for September 2025. Averages guide long-term trends but don’t determine individual property values.

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